On December 5, the EU will ban waterborne imports of crude oil from Russia and the G7 continues to work on an effort to cap the global price paid for Russian oil, which should be contemporaneous with the crude oil import ban. Will Russia retaliate? Measures that directly impact the comfort of Europe’s population, and therefore pressure Western politicians, might be deemed more effective in winter. Therefore, energy infrastructure such as pipelines, LNG or oil tankers making deliveries to Europe, or floating regasification units, are all potential targets for attacks.
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