Intelligence Briefings

Broader Conflict in Middle East Region Remains Unlikely

The conflict in Gaza is unlikely to grow into a larger regional conflict with Iran or its proxy, Hezbollah.


Summary: As of this writing, the conflict in Gaza is unlikely to grow into a larger regional conflict with Iran or its proxy, Hezbollah. Houthi attacks on Israel or other states in the region are likely to be episodic at best and largely ineffectual. The risks do not align with the reward for Iran or its proxies.

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