C A S E S T U D Y:
Curated Data for Greater Insight
The strength of our service goes beyond providing the most accurate and valuable data available. At ESAI Energy, we constantly ask ourselves if any data are missing from the public pool to understand market development better.
Oil-producing and refining companies needed to know how the shale boom would affect global naphtha production and its impact on its two main markets: gasoline for transport and feedstocks for petrochemical manufacturing. Naphtha is a by-product of crude distillation at refineries and condensate processing at splitting facilities that serve mostly as an intermediate component in the production of other products. Because refining and petrochemical production at the same location is common, naphtha that feeds nearby petrochemical units is invisible to data collection. Transparent, accurate data just don’t exist.
To get a more comprehensive forecast of overall naphtha production, we needed a way to estimate volumes expected to be produced inside the refinery gate, both now and in the future. This would allow us to develop a comprehensive view of naphtha supply, not available in any published statistics, and compare that supply to the reported demand from gasoline and petrochemical markets. Using our existing modeling of crude production and processing by quality, refinery distillation and secondary unit capacity, downstream investment, throughput, and global product demand, we could model the yield of naphtha production inside the refinery gate for every refinery in every country.
The market insight derived from this exercise allowed our clients to understand the potential impact of shale on global naphtha supply and the potential demand for naphtha-rich shale worldwide, a critically important perspective for U.S. shale producers.
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